Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.019347 0.020855 0.022424 0.024180 0.026091 0.028109 0.030405
2025-11-16 0.016557 0.018679 0.021001 0.023737 0.026879 0.030381 0.034592
2025-11-23 0.014897 0.017381 0.020204 0.023661 0.027793 0.032594 0.038620
2025-11-30 0.013605 0.016308 0.019473 0.023471 0.028413 0.034351 0.042076
2025-12-07 0.012606 0.015461 0.018892 0.023345 0.029006 0.036014 0.045421
2025-12-14 0.011745 0.014698 0.018328 0.023151 0.029443 0.037438 0.048477
2025-12-21 0.011115 0.014168 0.017998 0.023200 0.030146 0.039193 0.052017
2025-12-28 0.010492 0.013597 0.017567 0.023066 0.030569 0.040562 0.055076
2026-01-04 0.009981 0.013135 0.017240 0.023033 0.031096 0.042068 0.058376
2026-01-11 0.009567 0.012775 0.017019 0.023116 0.031768 0.043781 0.062039
2026-01-18 0.009172 0.012416 0.016775 0.023141 0.032339 0.045361 0.065574
2026-01-25 0.008792 0.012054 0.016502 0.023100 0.032800 0.046785 0.068937
2026-02-01 0.008291 0.011514 0.015974 0.022695 0.032749 0.047517 0.071399
2026-02-08 0.007826 0.011006 0.015467 0.022295 0.032685 0.048230 0.073884
2026-02-15 0.007497 0.010675 0.015196 0.022226 0.033105 0.049686 0.077620
2026-02-22 0.007164 0.010320 0.014871 0.022050 0.033342 0.050856 0.080948
2026-03-01 0.006872 0.010011 0.014596 0.021932 0.033653 0.052146 0.084540
2026-03-08 0.006585 0.009695 0.014294 0.021751 0.033848 0.053248 0.087865
2026-03-15 0.006374 0.009485 0.014143 0.021797 0.034402 0.054955 0.092329
2026-03-22 0.006136 0.009222 0.013895 0.021672 0.034663 0.056180 0.096009
2026-03-29 0.005935 0.009007 0.013712 0.021641 0.035073 0.057669 0.100244
2026-04-05 0.005771 0.008843 0.013601 0.021719 0.035667 0.059496 0.105207
2026-04-12 0.005604 0.008666 0.013462 0.021742 0.036161 0.061171 0.109983